The market may surge in the next few years as AI benefits become clearer and the market prices more of the impact.
Chronically constricted Red Sea shipping lanes could raise the cost of Europe-Mid-East-Asia trade and slow the...
2023 was far better than feared for US equities, albeit performance was heavily concentrated. What does 2024 have on...
Since the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) July minutes release, US Treasury yields have been rising.
The time to consider extending fixed income duration is now thanks to attractive income returns, potential for price...
The fight against inflation is still well underway in 2023 after a historically aggressive year of quantitative...
February 2024
The promise of AI (and other reasons for optimism)
Inflation persistence and the weakening Yen are unlikely to result in a dismantling of the Bank of Japan's Yield Curve...
Divergent inflation and growth dynamics have and will continue to position major central banks along contrasting...
Every few years, market doubts about the U.S.’ macro excesses and foreign policy follies crop up and raises the specter...
This note details our latest analysis of prolonged food price shocks and their impact on macro and investments.
In this third note of three, we review the arguments behind these opposing views in the previous two, in the hope to...
In the first note in a series of three on QT we argued that QT will most likely contribute to a flattening of the yield...
We have written extensively on our expectations for future rate hikes and the peak in US rates. In this paper, the...
We believe the possibility of a recession in the US over the coming two to three years is increasing. As such, we take...
MARK-487914-2024-01-24